Email over satellite for ten cents per message?
Calculating the value of being connected
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By Gregg Swanson, Executive Director, HumaniNet
Posted: 8/24/2004
For at least 20 years, aid and mission organizations have
sought the "magic ring" that would bring low-cost
email to workers in remote areas beyond the reach of the
telephone or Internet. Now, with satellite data services
becoming highly reliable and lightweight hardware very
affordable, low-cost email has become a reality in Africa
and Asia, with global coverage arriving in the next year.
We are often asked by field users how to calculate the
cost and value of satellite connectivity. While there are
numerous approaches to this calculation, the four-step analysis
below will yield four different, but useful, ways of looking at
the cost of email over RBGAN.
First, a word about the Inmarsat RBGAN. When this technology
was introduced in 2003, most purchasers paid $1500 - $2500
for a single terminal. That is $400 - $700 per pound, but
that is not a "measure of merit" for electronic
gear.
The RBGAN price has recently dropped to $899, with most
service providers offering some free megabytes and other
benefits (see our Satellite Communications section for
full information on the RBGAN service). For this analysis,
we will use the new $900 price and one available package
of discounts: no activation fee, no monthly fee for six
months, and 5 megabytes per month included through July
2005. Assumed purchase date is September 1, with a planned
usable life of three years (it will last much longer, but
it is a good, conservative assumption).
For a very helpful review of RBGAN bandwidth costs, see
Matt Blair's article, "RBGAN:
Details on Bandwidth Costs."
Now, the four steps:
Step #1: Purchase and service costs over 3 years
| Purchase price (shipping and accessories excluded) |
$899 |
| No monthly fee for first six months |
$0 |
| Monthly fee for next 30 months, @$29 |
$870 |
| |
|
| Total with service only (not usage) |
$1769 |
| |
|
| Per month, for 36 months |
$49.14 |
(All figures in this article are in U.S.
dollars)
Step #2: Life cycle cost, with service and usage (3
years)
Assume 100 emails per week with an average email 10 kilobytes,
roughly the size of a text-only email of about 800 words
(this article is about 940 words). Note that this is an assumed
total of emails, sent and received.
Many text-only emails are 2-5 kb, but of course attachments
can be very large. We will assume that the user can send
and receive large attachments over a different connection.
With an occasional spreadsheet or document attached, an
average 10 kb is a fair assumption. Thus:
| 100 emails @ 10 kilobytes = 1 megabyte
(Mb) per week |
| |
|
|
| First 46 weeks: no Mb usage cost (special offer) |
$0 |
|
| Next 110 weeks: 110 Mb @ $9.60 = |
$1056 |
over three years |
| Add purchase and service costs |
$1769 |
|
| |
|
|
| Total 3-year cost with service and usage |
$2825 |
|
Step #3: Average cost of an email, including RBGAN purchase
Now, we simply take all the emails (both ways) over 3
years: 156 weeks x 100/week = 15,600
Divide this into the "total with service and usage" and
you have 18 cents per email – less than it costs
to send a postcard in most countries.
Email compression services, such as the excellent UUPlus
service (www.uuplus.com)
will reduce costs for those who use 5 - 8 Mb per month
and up. See our "Tips on RBGAN" page.
Step #4: Post-purchase average cost of an email
The measure is based
strictly on service and usage, excluding purchase price
and activation fee. The $900 purchase price is considered
a "sunk cost." Service and usage charges are
added together, then divided by the number of emails
| First 46 weeks: no Mb usage cost (special offer) |
$0 |
|
| Next 110 weeks: 110 Mb @ $9.60 = |
$1056 |
over three years |
| No monthly fee for first six months |
$0 |
|
| Monthly fee for next 30 months, @$29 |
$870 |
|
| |
|
|
| Total |
$1926 |
|
| |
|
|
| Post-purchase average cost per email (divide by 100
x 156) = 12 cents
|
Not quite down to 10 cents, but usage rates are coming down and
could soon achieve that result. UUPlus email compression can reduce
this average by up to 75%, but of course the service cost would have
to be factored in.
Prepaid plans are also available. These eliminate the
monthly service fee, so you pay for the service only when
you use it. The per-megabyte price is still reasonable,
however. One plan offers a rate of $12 per megabyte. This
plan would reduce the per-email cost in #4 by about 3%.
Going global. In 2005, Inmarsat will begin full BGAN (no
longer "regional" BGAN) service by launching
two new satellites which will expand coverage to "near
global" landmass areas. The upgraded BGAN network
will offer significantly higher data rates of up to 432
kbps, as well as increased functionality. Will the price
per megabyte drop further? It is too soon to say, but it
is likely, since capacity will increase. Today's RBGANs
will be compatible with the extended global system but
will be limited to today's 144 kbps.
In closing, three brief points:
- Managers should
check prices frequently on all satellite services – the
trend is decidedly down.
- Users should examine any
major purchase decision not only before the purchase,
but a year later, and optimally 2-3 years after purchase.
Not only will you determine if your assumptions were
correct, but you will sharpen your ability to make future
choices.
- Nonprofit
managers should conduct an occasional review of their international
long distance phone service, as well as satellite communications.
Too many NGOs are paying more than they think for Web access
over dialup and even broadband. Lower-cost long distance
is usually available – it is easy to check – and
VoIP is coming on fast.
If you have questions on this article or on portable satellite
communications, please email us at info@humaninet.org.
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